Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Villar vs. Noynoy

Here is the complete article from Inquirer: Villar ties Aquino in presidential race

Ayon sa Pulse Asia survey na ginawa nung January 22-26, si Aquino ay nagtala ng 37% habang si Villar ay 35%.  So nagmumukha talagang 2 kandidato ang llamado sa May 10 elections.  Sa pagka-Bise Presidente, si Mar Roxas ay may 47% kontra sa 2nd placer na si Loren Legarda na may 28%.

Kumpara nung Dec 2009 survey, tumaas si Manny ng 12%, habang bumaba naman si Noynoy ng 8% at si Erap ng 7%.

Ito ang Resulta ng Survey
Noynoy - 37%
Villar - 35%
Erap - 12%
Gibo - 5%
Eddie Villanueva - 2%
Gordon - 1%
Jamby - 0.5%
JC - .3%, Dodong - 0.2% at Nick - 0.05%

By socio-economic classes:

Mukhang nahihirapan si Manny i-penetrate ang ABC classes, dahil hindi natinag ang mga numbers.  Sa kabilang banda, nahihirapan naman si Noynoy na hawakan ang 'E' class, dahil unti-unting bumababa ang rating nya.  Di pa siguro sya nakaligo sa dagat ng basura at nagpasko sa gitna ng kalsada =).

'ABC' Economic Classes
Noynoy - 37%
Villar - 22%

D Economic Class
Noynoy - 40%
Villar - 34%

'E' Economic Class
Villar - 39%
Noynoy - 31%

By Geography
Kailangan ni Noynoy mangampanya ng todo sa Mindanao kung gusto nya manalo.  Mukhang nagiging epektib ang mga commercials ni Manny dahil papataas ang increase ng % nya sa buong Pilipinas.  Pero dapat mag-concentrate si Manny sa Metro Manila.

Metro Manila:  Noynoy - 38%, Villar - 24%

Luzon: Aquino - 37%, Villar - 36%
Visayas :  Aquino - 41%, Villar - 38%
Mindanao: Villar, 36%, Aquino - 33%

By Age
Nagulat ako na ang mga 55 yrs old up ay pro-Noynoy.  Sa PB kasi, parang opposite e hehe.  No surprise that Noynoy is top for 18-24 yrs old.  No surprise din that Manny is top for 25-44 years old.

18-24 yrs old: Aquino - 46%, Villar - 37%
25-34 yrs old: Villar - 42%, Aquino - 32%
35-44 yrs old: Villar - 36%, Aquino - 32%

45-54 yrs old: Aquino - 40%, Villar - 31%
55-64 yrs old: Aquino - 38%, Villar - 28%
65 yrs old up: Aquino - 42%, Villar - 23%

A very exciting race indeed.  Mukhang di naapektuhan ang mga Villar supporters sa Senate C-5 Investigation at effective na nga ang kanyang massive TV and radio campaign.  Noynoy on the other hand, kelangan nyang lakasan pa ang kampanya at maabot ang buong PIlipinas.  Kelangan niyang pangalagaan ang maliit nyang lamang.  Di ko sure kung meron pa talagang pag-asa si Erap, si Gibo at si Gordon.

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